#1Ted Hurst
Ted Hurst is a Versatile WR for Georgia State. Ted's 2025 season ranks in the 88th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 93 plays — a above-average rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (88th percentile).
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Peak game: 1.15 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Murray State.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Zach Abey | Navy | 2016 | 70 | 0.370 | 0.8 | 25.9 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Dane Kinamon | Air Force | 2021 | 39 | 0.410 | 0.7 | 16.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Ole Miss | L7-63 | 24.0 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | -0.54 |
| 2 | vsMemphis | L16-38 | 7.6 | 7 | 97 | 13.9 | 0 | 27 | 1.10 |
| 3 | vsMurray State | W37-21 | — | 10 | 172 | 17.2 | 2 | 52 | 1.15 |
| 4 | @Vanderbilt | L21-70 | 20.3 | 7 | 71 | 10.1 | 0 | 19 | 0.14 |
| 6 | vsJames Madison | L7-14 | 12.3 | 3 | 60 | 20.0 | 0 | 52 | 0.23 |
| 7 | vsApp State | L20-41 | -11.4 | 9 | 105 | 11.7 | 0 | 20 | 0.42 |
| 8 | @Georgia Southern | L24-41 | -9.4 | 5 | 68 | 13.6 | 1 | 31 | 0.21 |
| 9 | vsSouth Alabama | L31-38 | -12.7 | 5 | 110 | 22.0 | 2 | 70 | — |
| 11 | @Coastal Carolina | L27-40 | -15.1 | 10 | 165 | 16.5 | 1 | 57 | 0.48 |
| 12 | vsMarshall | L18-30 | -4.5 | 7 | 74 | 10.6 | 0 | 41 | 0.50 |
| 14 | @Old Dominion | L10-27 | 5.9 | 7 | 76 | 10.9 | 0 | 29 | 0.33 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.35
- Passing downs
- 0.59
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.45 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).