Terrance Carter
Terrance Carter is a Slot Specialist TE for Texas Tech. Terrance's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 73 plays — a elite rate for the TE.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.62 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.16 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsArkansas-Pine Bluff | W67-7 | — | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 2 | 21 | 2.16 |
| 2 | vsKent State | W62-14 | -19.3 | 1 | 50 | 50.0 | 0 | 50 | 1.63 |
| 3 | vsOregon State | W45-14 | -15.9 | 6 | 102 | 17.0 | 1 | 24 | 1.55 |
| 4 | @Utah | W34-10 | 22.2 | 7 | 49 | 7.0 | 1 | 24 | 0.17 |
| 6 | @Houston | W35-11 | 7.4 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 9 | 0.31 |
| 7 | vsKansas | W42-17 | 4.1 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | 1 | 21 | 0.09 |
| 10 | @Kansas State | W43-20 | 7.0 | 4 | 81 | 20.3 | 0 | 38 | 1.10 |
| 11 | vsBYU | W29-7 | 15.9 | 4 | 41 | 10.3 | 0 | 18 | -0.14 |
| 12 | vsUCF | W48-9 | -1.2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 8 | 0.19 |
| 14 | @West Virginia | W49-0 | -6.8 | 10 | 98 | 9.8 | 0 | 27 | 0.80 |
| 15 | vsBYU | W34-7 | 15.9 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | 0 | 13 | -0.18 |
| 1 | vsOregon | L0-23 | 25.9 | 9 | 72 | 8.0 | 0 | 24 | 0.39 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.43
- Passing downs
- 0.57
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.50 / 0.38
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).