#19Tyler Fortenberry
Tyler Fortenberry is a Versatile TE for Arkansas State. Tyler's 2025 season produced 18.6 total EPA across 36 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the TE mean. Model correlation r≈0.42 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.64 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 1.46 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Southern Miss (SP+ -7).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Thompson | Tulane | 2024 | 48 | 0.420 | 0.4 | 20.2 |
| Seth Green | Minnesota | 2018 | 83 | 0.390 | 0.0 | 32.4 |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2020 | 59 | 0.300 | 0.0 | 17.7 |
| Evan Svoboda | Wyoming | 2024 | 75 | 0.290 | 0.0 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Myers | Rice | 2021 | 59 | 0.270 | 0.2 | 15.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSoutheast Missouri State | W42-24 | — | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 0 | 13 | 0.81 |
| 4 | @Kennesaw State | L21-28 | -5.4 | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 5 | -0.51 |
| 5 | @UL Monroe | L16-28 | -21.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | vsTexas State | W31-30 | 2.3 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | -0.51 |
| 8 | @South Alabama | W15-14 | -12.7 | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | 0 | 12 | 0.75 |
| 9 | vsGeorgia Southern | W34-24 | -9.4 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | — |
| 10 | @Troy | W23-10 | -4.8 | 5 | 40 | 8.0 | 1 | 12 | 0.82 |
| 11 | vsSouthern Miss | L21-27 | -7.1 | 6 | 61 | 10.2 | 0 | 20 | 1.46 |
| 13 | vsLouisiana | L30-34 | -10.1 | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | 0 | 28 | 0.95 |
| 14 | @App State | W30-29 | -11.4 | 5 | 69 | 13.8 | 1 | 19 | 1.16 |
| 1 | vsMissouri State | W34-28 | -10.7 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | -0.53 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.60
- Passing downs
- 0.36
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.52 / —
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).