Duke Blue Devils
ACC··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1622
#40
SP+
6.6
#44
O19/D86
FPI
6.4
SRS
5.2
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play6.0 – 5.0
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
6.0
of 11 games
Bowl odds
63%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
86%
vs North Carolina
Toughest
9%
vs Miami
💬Duke Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
423.6#25
Yards / play
6.2#30
Passing yards / game
285.4#11
Rushing yards / game
138.2#88
First downs / game
22.5#25
3rd down %
39.0%#78
4th down %
74.4%#3
Time of possession
29:44#78
Defense
Yards allowed / game
423.7#119
Yards / play allowed
6.3#121
Pass yards allowed / game
276.4#134
Rush yards allowed / game
147.3#65
3rd down % allowed
45.4%#125
Sacks
26#67
Tackles for loss
94#9
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+10#11
Takeaways
24#14
Giveaways
14#35
Penalties / game
6.4#84
Penalty yards / game
62.7#112
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1vs
TulaneSat-4.062%Wk 2@
IllinoisSat+1.346%Wk 3vs
StanfordSat-13.985%Wk 4vsWilliam & MarySatWk 6@
Georgia TechSat+1.346%Wk 7vs
North CarolinaSat-14.586%Wk 8@
VirginiaFri+3.041%Wk 9vs
Boston CollegeSat-12.983%Wk 10@
NC StateSat+1.745%Wk 11@
MiamiSat+18.19%Wk 12vs
ClemsonSat+2.941%Wk 13@
Wake ForestSat-1.254%
TulaneSat-4.062%Wk 2@IllinoisSat+1.346%Wk 3vsStanfordSat-13.985%Wk 4vsWilliam & MarySatWk 6@Georgia TechSat+1.346%Wk 7vsNorth CarolinaSat-14.586%Wk 8@VirginiaFri+3.041%Wk 9vsBoston CollegeSat-12.983%Wk 10@NC StateSat+1.745%Wk 11@MiamiSat+18.19%Wk 12vsClemsonSat+2.941%Wk 13@Wake ForestSat-1.254%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
5
Avg stars
3.20
Avg rating
0.8645
1 4★4 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Stover#330 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.9026 | Prosper, TX |
| Colsen Gatten#1158 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| Jayvian Tanelus#1158 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Naples, FL |
| KD Cotton#1465 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8611 | Matthews, NC |
| Gavin Strange#2842 nat'l | K | ★★★★★ | 0.8233 | Southlake, TX |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-5 | 6-2 | 64% | 7.8 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 69% | 7.0 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 6.9 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 69% | 8.4 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 0-8 | 25% | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 2-9 | 1-9 | 18% | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 42% | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 8-5 | 3-5 | 62% | 7.4 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 7-6 | 3-5 | 54% | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 2016 | 4-8 | 1-7 | 33% | 4.7 | -0.7 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).