East Carolina Pirates
American Athletic··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1593
#49
SP+
8.0
#38
O33/D51
FPI
5.1
SRS
5.7
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play7.3 – 3.7
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
7.3
of 11 games
Bowl odds
93%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
96%
vs Rice
Toughest
17%
vs Alabama
💬East Carolina Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
449.0#19
Yards / play
5.8#56
Passing yards / game
272.7#21
Rushing yards / game
176.3#46
First downs / game
23.3#14
3rd down %
47.2%#15
4th down %
46.9%#102
Time of possession
28:20#115
Defense
Yards allowed / game
351.0#50
Yards / play allowed
5.1#37
Pass yards allowed / game
230.8#92
Rush yards allowed / game
120.2#26
3rd down % allowed
30.5%#9
Sacks
30#42
Tackles for loss
101#6
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+10#11
Takeaways
24#14
Giveaways
14#35
Penalties / game
7.2#111
Penalty yards / game
61.5#108
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1@
AlabamaSat+13.017%Wk 2vs
App StateSat-17.590%Wk 3@
Old DominionSat+5.534%Wk 4vsNorth Carolina CentralSatWk 6vs
RiceSat-24.496%Wk 7@
UABThu-14.085%Wk 8@
MemphisThu+0.349%Wk 9vs
TempleSat-17.490%Wk 10vs
South FloridaSat+4.836%Wk 11@
CharlotteSat-20.493%Wk 12@
ArmySat+2.243%Wk 13vs
Florida AtlanticFri-19.092%
AlabamaSat+13.017%Wk 2vsApp StateSat-17.590%Wk 3@Old DominionSat+5.534%Wk 4vsNorth Carolina CentralSatWk 6vsRiceSat-24.496%Wk 7@UABThu-14.085%Wk 8@MemphisThu+0.349%Wk 9vsTempleSat-17.490%Wk 10vsSouth FloridaSat+4.836%Wk 11@CharlotteSat-20.493%Wk 12@ArmySat+2.243%Wk 13vsFlorida AtlanticFri-19.092%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
13
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8483
13 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terande Spencer#602 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8800 | Rockingham, NC |
| Djimon McLendon#1059 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8700 | Tucker, GA |
| Dawson Quarterman#1158 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Loganville, GA |
| Ja'Vaughn Hargett#1075 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8652 | Durham, NC |
| Zyon Ratchford#1924 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Gaffney, SC |
| Jeremiah Roux#1924 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Jonesboro, GA |
| Josh Battle#2176 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Atlanta, GA |
| L.J. Porter#2176 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | Cornelius, NC |
| Kelton Smith#2313 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Gaffney, SC |
| Amare Mack#2524 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Jacksonville, FL |
| Trey Burke#2620 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Spartanburg, SC |
| Preston Broadway#2620 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Indian Trail, NC |
| Xavier Massey#2850 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8200 | Bushnell, FL |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 8.7 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 62% | 7.0 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 17% | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 8.0 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 58% | 5.7 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 33% | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 1-7 | 33% | 3.5 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 2017 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 25% | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 2.9 | +0.1 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).