San Diego State Aztecs
Pac-12··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1528
#64
SP+
6.7
#43
O90/D28
FPI
0.6
SRS
3.6
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to play5.4 – 4.6
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
5.4
of 10 games
Bowl odds
47%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
83%
vs Oregon State
Toughest
17%
vs James Madison
💬San Diego State Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
356.0#91
Yards / play
5.6#78
Passing yards / game
157.9#125
Rushing yards / game
198.9#19
First downs / game
17.9#110
3rd down %
31.4%#130
4th down %
52.0%#87
Time of possession
30:17#54
Defense
Yards allowed / game
294.2#12
Yards / play allowed
4.4#5
Pass yards allowed / game
162.8#6
Rush yards allowed / game
131.4#40
3rd down % allowed
32.5%#14
Sacks
32#30
Tackles for loss
62#93
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+3#46
Takeaways
18#49
Giveaways
15#48
Penalties / game
6.2#74
Penalty yards / game
55.9#78
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
19
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8480
19 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Stevenson#1158 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Houston, TX |
| Robby Lavata'i#1158 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Tacoma, WA |
| Alijah Lash#1158 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Haslet, TX |
| Koi Taiese#1720 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8567 | Oakland, CA |
| Dominic Coelho#1871 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8522 | Rocklin, CA |
| Dareon Edmonds#1871 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8522 | Eastvale, CA |
| Roman Paseka#1901 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8517 | San Juan Capistrano, CA |
| Jarvis Williams#1924 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Moreno Valley, CA |
| Jack Ellis#2126 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8478 | Petaluma, CA |
| Harlem Nellum#2145 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8467 | Bakersfield, CA |
| Crosby Kelly#2145 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8467 | Moraga, CA |
| Elijah Muliufi#2163 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8456 | Spanaway, WA |
| Daishaun Davis#2176 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8450 | San Jacinto, CA |
| Cammeron Purnell#2281 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8444 | San Diego, CA |
| Javari Nash#2313 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Irvine, CA |
| Brady Campbell#2524 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Bakersfield, CA |
| Carson Diehl#2524 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | La Jolla, CA |
| Rahmeer Henderson#2620 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | Ontario, CA |
| Brian Borjon#2620 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8300 | La Puente, CA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 9.5 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 25% | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 33% | 5.6 | -1.6 |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 5-3 | 54% | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 12-2 | 7-2 | 86% | 10.4 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 4-4 | 4-2 | 50% | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 2019 | 10-3 | 5-3 | 77% | 8.6 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 54% | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 2017 | 10-3 | 6-2 | 77% | 9.1 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 11-3 | 7-2 | 79% | 10.8 | +0.2 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).