Vanderbilt Commodores
SEC··0-0
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Elo
1880
#14
SP+
20.3
#11
O5/D39
FPI
17.0
SRS
16.0
AP
#13
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play7.7 – 3.3
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
7.7
of 11 games
Bowl odds
95%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
96%
vs Delaware
Toughest
24%
vs Georgia
💬Vanderbilt Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
463.2#9
Yards / play
7.5#1
Passing yards / game
287.3#10
Rushing yards / game
175.9#49
First downs / game
24.1#9
3rd down %
51.1%#6
4th down %
55.6%#61
Time of possession
31:18#35
Defense
Yards allowed / game
357.5#56
Yards / play allowed
5.5#61
Pass yards allowed / game
249.5#118
Rush yards allowed / game
108.1#17
3rd down % allowed
43.1%#112
Sacks
31#31
Tackles for loss
81#30
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+3#46
Takeaways
15#73
Giveaways
12#17
Penalties / game
6.8#99
Penalty yards / game
59.7#96
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
13
Avg stars
3.31
Avg rating
0.8793
1 5★2 4★10 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Curtis#1 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.9992 | Nashville, TN |
| Chris Tangelo#438 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8925 | Germantown, MD |
| Evan Hampton#450 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8911 | Owensboro, KY |
| Jace McCallum#428 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8900 | Harrisburg, NC |
| Michael Mitchell Jr.#594 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8803 | San Francisco, CA |
| Tilden Riley#867 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8700 | Orangeburg, SC |
| George Haseotes#1320 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Naples, FL |
| Karaijus Hayes#1157 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8631 | Sarasota, FL |
| Nate Fleming#1500 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Franklin, TN |
| Palmer Riley#1500 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Atherton, CA |
| Daniel Vollmer#1615 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Cincinnati, OH |
| Antione Baker#1615 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Austin, TX |
| Jeremy Garner II#2302 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8422 | Rosharon, TX |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-3 | 6-2 | 77% | 9.1 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 7-6 | 3-5 | 54% | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 2-10 | 0-8 | 17% | 1.3 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 5-7 | 2-6 | 42% | 4.8 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 2-10 | 0-8 | 17% | 0.9 | +1.1 |
| 2020 | 0-9 | 0-9 | 0% | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 2.5 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 6-7 | 3-5 | 46% | 5.6 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 5-7 | 1-7 | 42% | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 6-7 | 3-5 | 46% | 4.5 | +1.5 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).