Baylor Bears
Big 12··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1509
#68
SP+
1.4
#71
O32/D110
FPI
3.0
SRS
0.6
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play4.5 – 6.5
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
4.5
of 11 games
Bowl odds
24%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
75%
vs Colorado
Toughest
7%
vs Texas Tech
💬Baylor Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
451.2#18
Yards / play
5.9#47
Passing yards / game
309.6#4
Rushing yards / game
141.6#83
First downs / game
24.8#5
3rd down %
37.8%#89
4th down %
53.1%#75
Time of possession
29:15#89
Defense
Yards allowed / game
391.8#87
Yards / play allowed
5.7#84
Pass yards allowed / game
194.5#31
Rush yards allowed / game
197.3#122
3rd down % allowed
40.9%#91
Sacks
12#132
Tackles for loss
48#127
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-13#133
Takeaways
11#112
Giveaways
24#130
Penalties / game
6.0#66
Penalty yards / game
61.4#107
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
8
Avg stars
3.50
Avg rating
0.8830
4 4★4 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryelan Morris#227 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.9186 | Honey Grove, TX |
| Jae'Lin Battle#357 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8998 | Edmond, OK |
| Donel Robinson#358 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8998 | Lexington, MS |
| London Smith#450 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8911 | Waco, TX |
| Quinn Murphy#857 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8703 | Argyle, TX |
| Jamarion Phillips#1131 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8689 | Dallas, TX |
| Parker Almanza#1125 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Trophy Club, TX |
| Tyrone Morgan#1566 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8511 | Baton Rouge, LA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 42% | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 6-3 | 62% | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 25% | 2.4 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 46% | 7.4 | -1.4 |
| 2021 | 12-2 | 8-2 | 86% | 10.2 | +1.8 |
| 2020 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 22% | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 2019 | 11-3 | 8-2 | 79% | 9.9 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 54% | 6.9 | +0.1 |
| 2017 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 8% | 3.0 | -2.0 |
| 2016 | 7-6 | 3-6 | 54% | 7.4 | -0.4 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).