Deuce Alexander is a Versatile WR for Ole Miss. Deuce's 2025 season ranks in the 88th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 75 plays — a above-average rate for the WR.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
- ▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (88th percentile).
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.82 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.61 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs South Carolina (SP+ 6).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Heidenreich | Navy | 2024 | 66 | 0.340 | 0.7 | 22.4 |
| Zach Abey | Navy | 2016 | 70 | 0.370 | 0.8 | 25.9 |
| Chris Tyree | Notre Dame | 2020 | 76 | 0.310 | 0.6 | 23.6 |
| Noah Short | Army | 2024 | 69 | 0.300 | 0.5 | 20.7 |
| Ainias Smith | Texas A&M | 2020 | 55 | 0.310 | 0.5 | 17.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsGeorgia State | W63-7 | -24.5 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 9 | 0.67 |
| 2 | @Kentucky | W30-23 | 1.8 | 4 | 68 | 17.0 | 0 | 30 | 0.64 |
| 3 | vsArkansas | W41-35 | 5.1 | 4 | 70 | 17.5 | 0 | 35 | 1.33 |
| 4 | vsTulane | W45-10 | 6.3 | 4 | 94 | 23.5 | 1 | 35 | 1.32 |
| 5 | vsLSU | W24-19 | 10.3 | 3 | 64 | 21.3 | 0 | 25 | 0.53 |
| 7 | vsWashington State | W24-21 | 3.8 | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | 0 | 18 | 0.34 |
| 8 | @Georgia | L35-43 | 24.1 | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | 0 | 32 | 0.37 |
| 9 | @Oklahoma | W34-26 | 18.3 | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 | 6 | -0.08 |
| 10 | vsSouth Carolina | W30-14 | 5.9 | 2 | 52 | 26.0 | 0 | 43 | 1.61 |
| 11 | vsThe Citadel | W49-0 | — | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 | 11 | -0.36 |
| 12 | vsFlorida | W34-24 | 3.5 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 9 | 0.12 |
| 14 | @Mississippi State | W38-19 | 4.1 | 2 | 94 | 47.0 | 1 | 88 | -0.64 |
| 1 | vsGeorgia | W39-34 | 24.1 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 7 | -0.42 |
| 1 | vsMiami | L27-31 | 20.7 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | -0.42 |
| 1 | vsTulane | W41-10 | 6.3 | 7 | 87 | 12.4 | 0 | 26 | -0.42 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.39
- Passing downs
- 0.31
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.40 / 0.23
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).