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Garrett Nussmeier

#18Garrett Nussmeier

QB·LSU·2024
Line value
8.5 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 2 (Rds 2–3)· model estimate based on position rank

Garrett Nussmeier is a Dual-Threat QB for LSU. Garrett's 2024 season ranks in the 55th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 538 plays — a average rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
336/524 Comp/Att4039 Pass yards29 Pass TD12 INT64.1% Comp %
Rushing
-39 Rush yards3 Rush TD36 Carries-1.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)55th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency86th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.08 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Nicholls.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Jordan TravisFlorida State20216900.47610.1328.3
Kyle McCordSyracuse20246320.50912.1321.4
Sam HartmanWake Forest20216470.55611.8359.6
Stetson BennettGeorgia20225090.63512.4323.0
Trace McSorleyPenn State20176260.51312.7321.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs USC: +0.46 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Nicholls: +0.60 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs South Carolina: +0.11 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs UCLA: +0.47 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs South Alabama: +0.50 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Ole Miss: +0.35 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Arkansas: +0.37 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Texas A&M: +0.37 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Alabama: +0.03 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Florida: +0.11 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Vanderbilt: +0.44 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Oklahoma: +0.52 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Baylor: +0.54 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsUSCL20-2711.929/383042188.10.46
2vsNichollsW44-2127/373026082.41300.60
3@South CarolinaW36-3316.924/402852176.1-2500.11
4vsUCLAW34-17-1.332/443523086.00.47
5vsSouth AlabamaW42-102.826/394092287.9620.50
7vsOle MissW29-2627.922/513373273.01600.35
8@ArkansasW34-1011.023/342330082.0500.37
9@Texas A&ML23-3817.025/504052373.4-310.37
11vsAlabamaL13-4225.027/422391256.5800.03
12@FloridaL16-2713.827/472601062.8-5300.11
13vsVanderbiltW24-174.928/373321083.8-600.44
14vsOklahomaW37-179.522/312773090.9-700.52
1vsBaylorW44-318.424/343043188.2700.54

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
61.5%
Passing plays
98.0%
Rushing plays
6.1%
Standard downs
56.7%
Passing downs
71.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.27
Passing downs
0.54
Pass / Rush EPA
0.35 / 0.81

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.