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Shedeur Sanders

#2Shedeur Sanders

Line value
8.7 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 2 (Rds 2–3)· model estimate based on position rank

Shedeur Sanders is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Colorado. Shedeur's 2024 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 529 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
353/477 Comp/Att4134 Pass yards37 Pass TD10 INT74.0% Comp %
Rushing
-50 Rush yards4 Rush TD100 Carries-0.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.66 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs North Dakota State.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Kyle McCordSyracuse20246320.50912.1321.4
Jordan TravisFlorida State20216900.47610.1328.3
Stetson BennettGeorgia20225090.63512.4323.0
Sam HartmanWake Forest20216470.55611.8359.6
Trace McSorleyPenn State20176260.51312.7321.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs North Dakota State: +0.66 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Nebraska: +0.14 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Colorado State: +0.22 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Baylor: +0.13 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs UCF: +0.41 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Kansas State: +0.46 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Arizona: +0.29 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Cincinnati: +0.48 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Texas Tech: +0.26 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Utah: +0.38 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Kansas: +0.58 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Oklahoma State: +0.46 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs BYU: +0.25 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsNorth Dakota StateW31-2626/344454181.81700.66
2@NebraskaL10-285.523/382441124.4-3000.14
3@Colorado StateW28-9-5.736/493104067.5-300.22
4vsBaylorW38-318.425/413412064.62610.13
5@UCFW48-212.828/352903189.11500.41
7vsKansas StateL28-3114.134/403883180.4-5000.46
8@ArizonaW34-7-2.823/332502281.2610.29
9vsCincinnatiW34-23-0.125/303232091.2110.48
11@Texas TechW41-274.330/432913078.01610.26
12vsUtahW49-247.730/413403186.8-900.38
13vsKansasL21-374.923/292663093.22600.58
14vsOklahoma StateW52-0-2.634/414385166.3-3100.46
1vsBYUL14-3615.316/232082218.6-3400.25

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
69.6%
Passing plays
98.8%
Rushing plays
20.0%
Standard downs
61.6%
Passing downs
86.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.25
Passing downs
0.51
Pass / Rush EPA
0.35 / 0.43

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024
2023 — 2024 · 24 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2023Colorado
7
0.440245.2
2024Colorado
8.7
0.460+0.02258.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.