Projection = the player's per-game median this season; floor/ceiling = the 15th/85th percentile of their ACTUAL game-by-game results (real variance, not an assumed model). In-season this updates with recent form and the opponent's defense vs the position.
| # | Player | Proj | vs D | Floor — Ceiling | TD/g | rec/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harold FanninBowling Green | 135 | — | 63 174 | 0.77 | 9 |
| 2 | Tre HarrisOle Miss | 128 | — | 82 179 | 0.88 | 7.6 |
| 3 | Jalen RoyalsUtah State | 112 | — | 47 190 | 0.86 | 7.9 |
| 4 | Travis HunterColorado | 106 | — | 49 130 | 1.15 | 7.4 |
| 5 | Xavier RestrepoMiami | 100 | — | 46 147 | 0.92 | 5.8 |
| 6 | Dante WrightTemple | 100 | — | 69 127 | 0.75 | 7.6 |
| 7 | Eric RiversFlorida International | 96 | — | 40 120 | 1 | 5.2 |
| 8 | Nick NashSan José State | 96 | — | 85 164 | 1.33 | 8.7 |
| 9 | Kaedin RobinsonApp State | 94 | — | 76 117 | 0.22 | 5.9 |
| 10 | Andrew ArmstrongArkansas | 94 | — | 73 136 | 0.09 | 7.1 |
| 11 | Coleman OwenOhio | 92 | — | 32 140 | 0.57 | 5.6 |
| 12 | Mario WilliamsTulane | 92 | — | 25 124 | 0.43 | 4.3 |
| 13 | Josh KellyTexas Tech | 92 | — | 30 135 | 0.42 | 7.4 |
| 14 | Jordyn TysonArizona State | 92 | — | 43 131 | 0.83 | 6.2 |
| 15 | Ja'Corey BrooksLouisville | 89 | — | 70 120 | 0.82 | 5.5 |
| 16 | Ricky WhiteUNLV | 88 | — | 19 129 | 0.85 | 6.1 |
| 17 | Jeremiah SmithOhio State | 88 | — | 40 102 | 0.94 | 4.8 |
| 18 | Jamaal PritchettSouth Alabama | 87 | — | 41 149 | 0.75 | 7.6 |
| 19 | Ted HurstGeorgia State | 84 | — | 22 129 | 0.75 | 4.7 |
| 20 | Devonte RossTroy | 82 | — | 28 132 | 0.92 | 6.3 |
| 21 | Tru EdwardsLouisiana Tech | 82 | — | 40 132 | 0.5 | 7.1 |
| 22 | Tetairoa McmillanArizona | 81 | — | 46 175 | 0.67 | 7 |
| 23 | Tai FeltonMaryland | 80 | — | 50 154 | 0.75 | 8 |
| 24 | Jayden HigginsIowa State | 79 | — | 64 121 | 0.69 | 6.7 |
| 25 | Holden WillisMiddle Tennessee | 79 | — | 61 101 | 0.55 | 4.8 |
| 26 | Keandre LambertAuburn | 79 | — | 45 108 | 0.67 | 4.2 |
| 27 | Tez JohnsonOregon | 78 | — | 25 114 | 0.83 | 6.9 |
| 28 | Jakobie Keeney-JamesMassachusetts | 78 | — | 30 97 | 0.5 | 4.2 |
| 29 | Kevin Coleman Jr.Mississippi State | 77 | — | 54 103 | 0.45 | 6.3 |
| 30 | Keshaun SingletonSouth Florida | 77 | — | 36 106 | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| 31 | De'Zhaun StriblingOklahoma State | 77 | — | 26 145 | 0.55 | 4.7 |
| 32 | Justin LockhartSan José State | 76 | — | 43 128 | 0.42 | 4.4 |
| 33 | Reginald VirgilMiami (OH) | 76 | — | 26 102 | 0.69 | 3.2 |
| 34 | Matt SykesRice | 75 | — | 22 94 | 0.42 | 5.4 |
| 35 | Trebor PenaSyracuse | 75 | — | 49 98 | 0.69 | 6.5 |
| 36 | Oronde Gadsden IISyracuse | 74 | — | 17 108 | 0.54 | 5.5 |
| 37 | Kyle WilliamsWashington State | 74 | — | 32 148 | 1.08 | 5.4 |
| 38 | Pofele AshlockHawai'i | 74 | — | 19 82 | 0.55 | 5.5 |
| 39 | DT SheffieldNorth Texas | 74 | — | 36 124 | 1 | 6 |
| 40 | Jaden SmithNevada | 74 | — | 34 96 | 0.58 | 5.2 |
Floor/ceiling = 15th–85th percentile of the player's actual game-by-game results this season (real variance). Not a market prop quote. Source: CollegeFootballData box scores.