Louisville Cardinals
ACC··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1749
#27
SP+
12.4
#25
O39/D29
FPI
10.2
SRS
9.3
AP
#19
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play7.6 – 3.4
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
7.6
of 11 games
Bowl odds
94%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
93%
vs Syracuse
Toughest
22%
vs Ole Miss
💬Louisville Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
384.6#72
Yards / play
6.0#44
Passing yards / game
220.6#76
Rushing yards / game
164.0#61
First downs / game
19.6#83
3rd down %
35.3%#105
4th down %
64.3%#23
Time of possession
30:12#57
Defense
Yards allowed / game
303.1#16
Yards / play allowed
4.7#13
Pass yards allowed / game
188.8#25
Rush yards allowed / game
114.3#22
3rd down % allowed
33.1%#19
Sacks
31#31
Tackles for loss
77#43
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+3#46
Takeaways
20#35
Giveaways
17#73
Penalties / game
6.9#102
Penalty yards / game
63.2#114
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1vs
Ole MissSun+10.422%Wk 2vsVillanovaFriWk 3vs
SMUSat+1.745%Wk 4vs
Wake ForestSat-11.179%Wk 5@
NC StateSat-3.460%Wk 6vs
Florida StateFri-10.177%Wk 7@
SyracuseSat-20.393%Wk 9vs
StanfordSat-19.092%Wk 10@
Georgia TechSat-3.861%Wk 11@
North CarolinaSat-14.886%Wk 12vs
PittsburghSat-7.872%Wk 13@
KentuckySat-9.075%
Ole MissSun+10.422%Wk 2vsVillanovaFriWk 3vsSMUSat+1.745%Wk 4vsWake ForestSat-11.179%Wk 5@NC StateSat-3.460%Wk 6vsFlorida StateFri-10.177%Wk 7@SyracuseSat-20.393%Wk 9vsStanfordSat-19.092%Wk 10@Georgia TechSat-3.861%Wk 11@North CarolinaSat-14.886%Wk 12vsPittsburghSat-7.872%Wk 13@KentuckySat-9.075%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
15
Avg stars
3.27
Avg rating
0.8736
4 4★11 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydin Broadnax#268 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.9104 | Boca Raton, FL |
| Julius Miles#336 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.9020 | Freeport, FL |
| Briggs Cherry#372 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8983 | Chattanooga, TN |
| Jarvis Strickland#447 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8916 | Paducah, KY |
| Payton Cook#474 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8889 | Akron, OH |
| Marlon Harbin#819 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8719 | Louisville, KY |
| Gavin Waddell#1158 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Rolesville, NC |
| Bryten Close#1158 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Campbellsville, KY |
| Sam Dawson#1320 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Crestwood, KY |
| Kris Brunson#1320 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Snellville, GA |
| Benjamin Corhei#1396 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8633 | Valdosta, GA |
| Brady Ballart#1465 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8611 | Aurora, IN |
| Jon Adams#1838 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8533 | Chiefland, FL |
| Max Merz#1871 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8522 | Fort Thomas, KY |
| Isaiah Jackson#2162 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8467 | Mount Vernon, KY |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 4-4 | 69% | 9.4 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 69% | 8.4 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 71% | 9.7 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 46% | 8.8 | -2.8 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 3-7 | 36% | 5.5 | -1.5 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 62% | 7.1 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 2-10 | 0-8 | 17% | 2.2 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 2016 | 9-4 | 7-1 | 69% | 9.8 | -0.8 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).