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Riley Leonard

#13Riley Leonard

Line value
8.2 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 2 (Rds 2–3)· model estimate based on position rank

Riley Leonard is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Notre Dame. Riley's 2024 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 572 plays — a average rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
269/403 Comp/Att2861 Pass yards21 Pass TD8 INT66.7% Comp %
Rushing
906 Rush yards17 Rush TD184 Carries4.9 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.71 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Stanford (SP+ -8).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Jordan TravisFlorida State20216900.47610.1328.3
Kyle McCordSyracuse20246320.50912.1321.4
Sam HartmanWake Forest20216470.55611.8359.6
Trace McSorleyPenn State20176260.51312.7321.0
Stetson BennettGeorgia20225090.63512.4323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Texas A&M: +0.20 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Northern Illinois: +0.13 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Purdue: +0.61 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Miami (OH): +0.41 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Louisville: +0.20 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Stanford: +0.71 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Georgia Tech: +0.26 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Navy: +0.61 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Florida State: +0.43 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Virginia: +0.10 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Army: +0.48 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs USC: +0.33 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Penn State: +0.38 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Georgia: +0.38 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Indiana: +0.38 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs Ohio State: +0.38 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1@Texas A&MW23-1317.018/301580066.76300.20
2vsNorthern IllinoisL14-16-3.520/321630225.81610.13
3@PurdueW66-7-16.211/161120093.810030.61
4vsMiami (OH)W28-31.316/251541083.414320.41
5vsLouisvilleW31-2413.617/231632074.15210.20
7vsStanfordW49-7-8.216/222293094.53110.71
8vsGeorgia TechW31-131.920/292030171.55120.26
9vsNavyW51-143.513/211782090.08310.61
11vsFlorida StateW52-3-3.214/272151087.57020.43
12vsVirginiaW35-14-5.122/332143150.03200.10
13vsArmyW49-149.210/131482093.73000.48
14@USCW49-3511.917/221552184.05010.33
1vsPenn StateW27-2424.615/232231280.33510.38
1vsGeorgiaW23-1024.315/24901070.98000.38
1vsIndianaW27-1720.123/322011167.13010.38
1vsOhio StateL23-3431.222/312552088.14010.38

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
57.9%
Passing plays
90.0%
Rushing plays
31.0%
Standard downs
54.0%
Passing downs
67.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.28
Passing downs
0.52
Pass / Rush EPA
0.29 / 0.51

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024
2022 — 2024 · 29 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2022Duke
6.4
0.429222.1
2024Notre Dame
8.2
0.468+0.04296.9

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.